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Sat, May 26 2012
China’s growing economic might
When China has become the most powerful economic economy in the world over the next decade or so, and is year-on-year gaining even greater global economic power, its territorial mindset will start to kick in. One should not underestimate this fact.
For China realised about 40 years ago that the global wars of the 21st century would not be military but economic. Considering these facts, there is more than a possibility that countries like Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea and even Japan eventually could be absorbed by the economic might of China, even by using military power to secure such events.
This could happen even in the face of possible retaliation by the US and Nato who might very well back down due to damage limitations throughout the West. Indeed, history has shown that China’s military is not to be trusted and that most of their wars were economic. In this respect, the war against Vietnam would have meant total domination of the Vietnamese and, if they had won the Korean War (which they nearly did), North Korea would have been a puppet regime where, in reality, China was in control.
This future brinkmanship situation is likely and many military minds silently think this way also. Consequently the West has not just to worry about the growing economic might of China, but also the possible ramifications that this can bring through the West’s constant decline in its economic power and thereby its constantly declining military capabilities year-on-year. Globalisation is not, therefore, what it may appear to be.
Ultimately – as we all know – there are winners and losers that are dictated by the laws of probability. The West has therefore to fully concentrate on the creation and development of world-leading technology, so that the possibility of the above scenario never happens. Unfortunately, as usual, our politicians cannot see this. Our bankers have a great deal to answer for, for getting us all into this horrible dilemma.
Dr David Hill,
World Innovation Foundation
For China realised about 40 years ago that the global wars of the 21st century would not be military but economic. Considering these facts, there is more than a possibility that countries like Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea and even Japan eventually could be absorbed by the economic might of China, even by using military power to secure such events.
This could happen even in the face of possible retaliation by the US and Nato who might very well back down due to damage limitations throughout the West. Indeed, history has shown that China’s military is not to be trusted and that most of their wars were economic. In this respect, the war against Vietnam would have meant total domination of the Vietnamese and, if they had won the Korean War (which they nearly did), North Korea would have been a puppet regime where, in reality, China was in control.
This future brinkmanship situation is likely and many military minds silently think this way also. Consequently the West has not just to worry about the growing economic might of China, but also the possible ramifications that this can bring through the West’s constant decline in its economic power and thereby its constantly declining military capabilities year-on-year. Globalisation is not, therefore, what it may appear to be.
Ultimately – as we all know – there are winners and losers that are dictated by the laws of probability. The West has therefore to fully concentrate on the creation and development of world-leading technology, so that the possibility of the above scenario never happens. Unfortunately, as usual, our politicians cannot see this. Our bankers have a great deal to answer for, for getting us all into this horrible dilemma.
Dr David Hill,
World Innovation Foundation
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Well said Martine.
What we have also to get over in the West is this theory that only highly intelligent people can do this. For this is a misdemeanour of the first order and vital for our future that we clearly understand this.
For present thinking is wrong as we are looking at the wrong way to create a meaningful future in the West. It depends ultimately for a nation if higher intelligence or higher innovative thinking is the driving force of Humanity.
There is a great misconception in the [...]
Read the full comment minds of many business and education Gurus, through lack of understanding what innovation really is, that innovation is somehow linked to higher intelligence. This misdemeanor is thrown at all and sundry. Unfortunately intelligence in itself does not lead to major global breakthroughs as the history of S&T shows. Indeed some people may be highly intelligent in solving problems but can never come up with an idea that revolutionizes the future. For solving existing problems is not the same as creating a totally new concept or idea. This thinking comes from people who in the main were not excellent scholastic students but were different in their thinking and had the ability to link things together to produce something new and really outstanding.
What we have not learnt in the West yet is that it is not the so-called highly intelligent people that we have to find but the creative individuals who are the primary asset in creating the successful tools of the future, whether they be better education systems or revolutionary technologies. The two are very different indeed. That is why the World Innovation Foundation has been saying for the past decade and a half to western governments that the West has to create the ORE-STEM complex so that these special individuals can have a place to flourish and work. In this respect it is estimated that there are between 500,000 and 1million of these ‘special’ average-intelligent people in the West who have the capacity to change ‘Our’ economic fortunes.
But, no-one is listening and especially in western governments where the intelligent people reign there supreme also. The reason of course is because these people are perceived as being highly intelligent also, but where they lack the main ingredient to why a country will be economically dynamic in the future; that little known seed in the certain individuals that transforms nations through totally new revolutionary thinking. Not to bore people but Newton and Einstein are clear examples of poor to medium quality scholastic students. In fact in the case of Newton his contemporaries stated at the time that nothing would ever come of Newton after he lost his ‘grouts’ and was awarded the lowest BA degree at Cambridge. No, it is those illusive individuals that we have to concentrate on in finding within our western society, who are not seen as highly intelligent people, but engage and provide vast wealth through their innovative thinking, not highly intelligent thinking. The two are totally different animals. For this is the ‘golden’ secret of creating a future dynamic environment for the West and where through such thinking, the West would recapture its pre-eminence in wealth creation.
Unfortunately western politicians have lost their way because they are possibly too intelligent and therefore we look in part at the decline that we now see. For an example here, bankers are supposed to be one of the most intelligent species within humanity and where they usually come with the highest degrees passes possible and top-of-the-class honours from such establishments as Harvard, Berkeley, MIT, Cambridge and Oxford et al. Therefore the question has to be asked, how did they and their highly intelligent government counterparts get is so horribly wrong globally and locally? The reason is that intelligence does not guarantee for a better world and where the opposite has been the case with the West reeling from trillions of accumulated debt that the people in the west now owe.
We have therefore to stop concentrating on the misconception that high intelligence is the best driver of humanity but where others have the real answers to our dire problems. Therefore the sooner we get such vast concepts as the ORE-STEM under way, the sooner the West will stop the inevitable decline of our nations and its people. For in another 30>40 years if we do not start thinking differently, the West will be totally reeling from a state of our economic affairs which will mirror many of the dire problems associated with some of the emerging economies now. This future situation to counter-balance the economic forces building in the East will not emerge from high intelligence as history has shown us, but from special and unique individuals who are not seen as highly intelligent at all. But what they possess is of far, far more important that just mere high intelligence, for they hold the golden key of our economic redemption!
Dr David Hill
Chief Executive
World Innovation Foundation
We do need to work on the creation and development of world beating
technology, but fortunately our
short sighted politicians are not the
creators of such items. America
still leads the world in this. Also
in the 1990s it was thought that Japan would overtake America and
become economy number 1. it did not happen.