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Newly-completed office buildings to keep rents low in 2010 - study

Wed, Jan 13 2010 12:22 CET 2728 Views 2 Comments
Newly-completed office buildings to keep rents low in 2010 - study

Photo: Maria Subotinova

The gradual accumulation of new office buildings due to be completed and opened for business throughout 2010 will have a "dis-balancing" effect on the market and keep prices low because of excessive over-supply, a study by real estate consultant firm MBL and global consultancy CB Richard Ellis was quoted as saying by Stroitelstvo Gradut weekly on January 12 2010.

According to MBL, about 72 000 sq m of office space were rented out in 2009 nationwide, making it the lowest rate in five years, since total completed office space amounted to 165 000 sq m. Additionally, about 375 000 sq m of new office space is expected to be made available on the market in 2010.

"Regardless of the faint signs of resurgence and demand increasing marginally, the outlook for 2010 appears to be 'difficult' for the office sector," MBL said.

Rents across the country have fallen by 30-40 per cent, after peaking in the first half of 2008, with "quality office buildings" now going at a rate of between nine and 13 euro a sq m monthly, Stroitelstvo Gradut said. Additionally, the "nationwide demand never exceeded 160 000 sq m annually".

Historically, this is "unprecedented growth" for the Bulgarian market, which now stands at about 1.1 million sq m of office space and is expected to increase by a third in 2010.

Analysts have said that office buildings in the Sofia city centre are likely to feel the brunt of the rental prices correction as new and spacious new office space is made available in abundance outside the immediate centre. Until now, prices in Sofia city centre which reached 25 euro during the peak period before the global economic downturn and have mostly retained their value in 2009.

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Comments

Anonymous Mountaineer Wed, Jan 13 2010 21:25 CET

yes Jon you have,
the factor you are looking for is called "money laundering". take the black sea - whats the point of building a trillion hotels along a 300 mile stretch of water? we got more hotels here than the Greeks, and Greece has 12 000 plus miles of coastline.

you are in BG. and where BG begins, logic ends. and its simple as that really. hope that clarifies it

Anonymous Jon Mills Wed, Jan 13 2010 20:14 CET

I can't understand the maths of this article:
In 2009 they built 165,000 m2 and rented 72,000 m2 (43.6%)
In 2010 they will complete 375,000 m2 to add towards the 93,000 m2 from last year - Makes 468,000 m2 available this year. If they rent as last year say 44% they will still have 205,920 m2 empty - to add towards what is due completion in 2012.

Now note that the working population of Sofia is c. 870,000 of which c 270,000 are in office type jobs and in existing offices.
[...]

Read the full comment />
So they are expecting a 38% increase in office workers - when the general (working) population is declining at 2.3% a year. Add to this the factor that Sofia cannot cope with the population it has now!

Am I missing some critical factor?


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