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H1N1 epidemic declared in two more Bulgarian cities

Mon, Nov 02 2009 09:42 CET 1659 Views 3 Comments
H1N1 epidemic declared in two more Bulgarian cities

The authorities in Bourgas have declared an epidemic until November 6, whereas in the town of Yambol, the emergency situation will last until November 9, the Bulgarian National Radio (BNR) reported on November 1 2009.

Schools will remain closed and hospitals will be closed for visitors. Kindergartens will maintain operations but parents will be not be allowed access to the premises.

Meanwhile on November 2, local authorities in the town of Gabrovo, northern Bulgaria, will decide if they should also follow suit and declare an emergency situation.

Simultaneously, the declaration of an epidemic in Turgovishte municipality, which was put into effect on October 30, will continue until November 6.

Bulgaria's Health Minister Bozhidar Nanev is set to inform the public at a press conference of the latest news surrounding the H1N1 assault in the country. According to latest figures, urban centres such as Gabrovo and Varna are approaching 175 infected for every 10 000, just five short of the "epidemic threshold", the BNR said.

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Comments

Anonymous stivian Tue, Nov 03 2009 14:32 CET

Dear Dr David,
When one looks at the 1918 pandemic the charts of infection when't throught the roof through November and returned to a stable level in the first week of December, this looks very much the same patern, an interesting observation in a factory where the wearers of contact lenses and glasses showed a high resistance to contamination of Flue , this may conclued that the virus enters the eye more easily than other parts, face masks will really just stop an infected person passing the virus on to another. Another interesting observation is this swine flue [...]

Read the full comment is made of three flues human pig And bird flues, the death rate is a concern but is relativly low in comparison to an evolving pandemic of bird flue with human to human infection which has not yet occured. I wonder how relistic is it to be concerned with the fact that when this Swine flue comes into contact with the Bird Flue currently in Egypt with this caus a stran to develop that will have a death rate of up to 80% of the population. That is enough to cause a totlal colapse of the modern system. that is as to say a population of 11,000,000, will have a death rate of 8,800,000.
I also wonder that if a person contracts swine flue which is a third bird flue would this allow a person to have developed a resistance to Bird Flue when in evolves into a sustained human to human infection.

Anonymous vanko Tue, Nov 03 2009 11:25 CET

Dear Dr David, can you comment on masks please. A German Doctor discovered 80 or so years ago that most virus' infect via the ear not nose or mouth (they are all interconnected after all). He was totally discredited but recent lab tests over the past 10 years have proven him right. So what use are face masks?????

Anonymous Dr David Hill Mon, Nov 02 2009 21:20 CET

With the sudden increase in just the last 7-days of over 700 deaths worldwide from swine flu, are we at the start of something really serious it has to be asked?

For one thing is a certainty according to Margaret Chan, Director-General of the World Health Organization, a highly virulent killer stain of swine flu/bird flu will emerge eventually. In this respect it has 100% probability based upon the past and whether it arrives this year, in the next decade or over the next 50-years, it will in due course come to pass. But it has [...]

Read the full comment to be stated that the drugs strategy is totally flawed and will not save 100s of millions (maybe in fact over a billion lives lost) from their eventual deaths worldwide. For the timing of the drug’s strategy is far too long from the creation of an effective vaccine to manufacture, distribution and inoculation – some 9-18 months even in rich western economies. In this respect the Spanish Flu (a variant of Swine Flu) killed between 20 million and 100 million people in 1917/18 and did its lethal worst between weeks 16 and weeks 24. If you do not believe me, just look at the present situation where it has already taken over 6 months to isolate, create a vaccine, manufacture limited supplies for only 10% of the total requirement, sparsely distribute and with limited inoculation of people numbers. Indeed, according to statistics and logistics, it will take a further 12-months before everyone has had the inoculation if everything runs smoothly. Therefore this 2nd test-run of the swine virus that we are just starting to go through currently should show that the drugs strategy will do very little to save us all and our loved ones when the real nightmare emerges – a pre-runner hopefully. So if we are intelligent people and use our common sense, we should see that the only real way to defeat this killer virus is to address it at source and never let it happen in the first place. This is the thinking of some of the most eminent virologists in the world, but where the power of the mighty pharmaceutical companies, who cannot make 10s of billions out of this field strategy, are stopping this happening. Governments are brainwashed by their influence and therefore will not listen to the only definite ‘cure in town’. Time will tell but where it has to be said that this is possibly now something that is not on our side, as this alternative preventative strategy that will definitely stop the killer virus in its tracks and at source, will take 5-years to implement globally. Therefore we have to start today to change from a drugs led strategy that will totally fail us all eventually, to a preventative strategy at source that will never let it happen in the first place. Common sense really, but something presently that governments do not have. The death count will be enormous.

Dr David Hill
World Innovation Foundation Charity
Bern, Switzerland


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