Sat, Feb 11 2012

Business climate declines again in March

Mon, Mar 30 2009 14:13 CET 1812 Views 2 Comments
Business climate declines again in March

Photo: sxc.hu

The Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area fell again in March, to its lowest level since January 1985.

This points to another markedly negative outcome for year-on-year industrial production growth in February, after the record fall registered in January.

Given the current levels, it also suggests that industrial production growth will remain clearly subdued in March.

The drop in the BCI reflects a worsening situation in most of its underlying components, a European Commission media statement said.

Managers' assessment of current overall order books and export order books deteriorated even further from last month's level.

Stocks of finished goods have again risen towards December's record highs, while the production trend observed in recent months improved only marginally from a very low level.

Looking forward, managers remain very negative about their production expectations outlook.

In March, the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) for the EU and the euro area declined again, but more slowly than in the first two months of the year amid signs of stabilisation in some sectors.

It fell by 0.6 points in the EU, and by 0.7 points in the euro area, to 60.3 and 64.6, respectively.

The indicators for both regions now stand at their lowest levels since the current series was launched in January 1985.

The fall in the ESI is attributed to the deteriorating sentiment in the industry and services sectors, which fell by the same amount (-2 points) in both regions. In the other sectors, a mixed picture is emerging.

Consumer sentiment stabilised in the EU, but fell by one point in the euro area.

Retail trade increased by two points in the EU and by one point in the euro area, reinforcing the rebound which started in February. Construction in both regions stabilised at the levels seen in February.

Among the largest EU member states, Italy witnessed the most significant decline in sentiment (-4.5 points), while the fall has been more marginal in France and Poland (-1.0), Germany (-0.8) and the UK (-0.4). Economic sentiment recovered slightly in the Netherlands (1.3) and in Spain (0.8).

The financial services confidence indicator - not included in the ESI - improved by one point in the EU but deteriorated by four points in the euro area, reversing the previous month's gain.

Compared to February, managers' expectation of demand for their services worsened in both areas - significantly in the euro area, but to a much lesser extent in the EU.

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Comments

Anonymous ExPat Tue, Mar 31 2009 09:45 CET

excellent idea Anthony! how effective communism had worked we have seen from '45-'89. and especially BG is still suffering from this legacy (and will in the near and distant future). Do you know in what trouble Venezuela is currently, which is trying to apply communism again? Or are you referring to the China communism, which is everything else but communism.
It is very clear, that people in crisis always tend to refer back to the "good old times" mainly not because it was so good, but 1) it was known and humans are naturally afraid of change b) [...]

Read the full comment only the "good" memories last, the suffering and bad experiences are (psychologically proven) much faster forgotten.

Anonymous Anthony Ratkov Tue, Mar 31 2009 09:12 CET

Business climate? Why are you talking about business? Don't you know that business is obsolete? Business is obsolete because it is being replaced by communism. In business,the goal is to abuse the working class,and to subjugate them as much as possible. A business regime,such as the European Union,will try to lower your pay,so you paycheck gets smaller and smaller. At the same time,they will try to increase your rent,so you pay more and more. What do they call this? They call it business! Do you remember when Russians shut off the gas supply to Bulgaria in January,2009? That's business,too! The [...]

Read the full comment Russian government was starting to behave like a business regime,when they shut off your gas in January. This is why business must be replaced by communism. I propose that all the labor unions in the European Union should be united,so they become a single organization. This organization should be called the European Labor Community. All the labor unions in Europe,and all the socialist parties in Europe should unite,to form a single organization,which will be called the European Labor Community.


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