Fri, Feb 10 2012

G20 arithmetic

What did the G20 summit add up to? It depends who you are, where you were standing, and how much you expected

Fri, Nov 21 2008 10:00 CET 739 Views
G20 arithmetic

The first trading day after the Washington summit of the G20 summit of leaders of major developed and developing economies, there was no shortage of headlines saying that the outcome of the meeting - a 3500-word resolution on measures and principles to address the global economic crisis - had no beneficial effect on the markets.

An Associated Press story on November 17 quoted analysts, investors and media around Asia as saying that the summit had been "high on symbolism but low on action". The same day, AFP said that markets had shown "little enthusiasm for a vague pledge" emanating from the G20.

There were, of course, reasons other than the G20's not unreasonable failure to live up to the hype that it would be a "Bretton Woods II" for markets' poor performance, including a caution as key economic indicators were awaited from the US.

Naturally, a meeting that spanned just about six hours could hardly be expected to produce miracles, or even much in concrete terms. There was also what may be termed the Obama factor, with not a few hints that the real business will happen after the new US administration takes office. Further, any long-term effect of the G20 meeting will be apparent only after the group's finance ministers carry out the mandate given to them to deal with all the truly thorny issues of detail. In that respect, the G20 process is similar to what has been happening with European Union and eurozone processes to respond to the financial crisis. Heads of government outline the principal agreements, and it is up to finance chiefs to figure out the workings.

The decisions
For the record, the G20 - made up of Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the UK and the US, plus the European Union as a member in its own right - agreed to use fiscal measures to stimulate demand; help emerging markets gain access to finance; expand the Financial Stability Forum to including emerging economies; reform the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank; ensure that the IMF, World Bank and other development banks have sufficient funds; to not raise trade barriers over the next 12 months; work on restarting the Doha round of global trade talks by the end of 2008; establish supervisory colleges for major international financial institutions; review how compensation packages affect risk-taking; ensure credit rating agencies meet high global standards and provide greater disclosure; improve accounting standards; and that there be better disclosure on complex financial products.

Western leaders at the summit, from US president Bush through to European Commission president Jose Manuel Barroso, hailed it as a success.

"I don't think we could have predicted how productive this meeting was going to be," Bush said. UK prime minister Gordon Brown said that the G20 had provided a "route map" to economic recovery.

Other voices
But few could fail to notice the intrinsic significance of the meeting, which was that 12 countries in addition to the familiar G8 were at the table and being assertive about their presence and role.

China's foreign minister called the G20 meeting, which will have a sequel at the end of April 2009 when more concrete measures are to be spelt out, an important step towards "reform of the international financial structure". Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said that the G8 was no longer relevant in today's globalised world, and said that the G20 meeting was historic for representing a seismic shift in global politics.

South African president Kgalema Motlanthe, whose country had been mandated to speak on behalf of the continent, was more cautious, saying that the reform agreed at the G20 meeting would require better representation for Africa in the international financial system.

There should be a "much more inclusive" governance structure for the IMF and World Bank and other relevant institutions so that developing countries were effectively represented, Motlanthe said.

When leaders at the summit go back to their offices, domestic reaction in most countries was less than enthusiastic; one of the few exceptions was Bush, if only on the grounds the few would bother to attack him as his political expiry date approaches inexorably.

Some market analysts were blunt. "In the midst of an emergency crisis, to have a statement that reads `we will co-operate with each other' is all but meaningless," AFP quoted Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp. He was speaking as it became clear that Japan was following, among others, Germany and the entire eurozone into recession. AP quoted Credit Suisse Japan analyst Shinichi Ichikawa as saying: "To put it harshly, there is little point in trying to figure out ways to prevent a disease once a patient is sick".

In an editorial comment, South Africa's Business Day said that the G20 summit was never going to yield a package of practical proposals to save the world from financial and economic crisis, and nor was it going to be a new Bretton Woods. For all that, the summit was more than just a public relations exercise.

"It's not much yet. But the Washington weekend could prove to be the beginning of a process that will help to make the world economy a more stable creature," the newspaper said.

  • Print
  • Send via email
  • Translate to
  • Share:

To post comments, please, Login or Register.


Please read the The Sofia Echo forum comments policy.

‘Bonus culture’ issue on the road to the G20 summit

G20 economy officials are meeting in London on September 4 and 5 in a prelude to a summit in the US later this month of the group’s heads of state and government. One of the issues is capping bonuses paid to bankers.

G20 leaders agree on new global financial oversight

Measures to include tougher global financial oversight hailed by Obama as 'turning point' and welcomed by Sarkozy as 'exceeding expectations'.

Road to London

Disagreements between US and Europe persist as second G20 summit looms

More in this category

Average monthly salary in Bulgaria rose in Q4 2011, statistics institute says

In the fourth quarter of 2011, the average monthly salary increased to 727 leva, 4.9 per cent higher than in Q3, the National Statistics Institute says.

Global food prices rebound, FAO says

For the first time in six months, global food prices rose overall in January 2012, the UN Food and Agricultural Organisation said.

Bulgaria mulls tighter regulation of bank fees - updated

The package will be discussed with the Association of Bulgarian Banks before the amendments are submitted to Parliament.

Bulgarian ICT Watch event in March

Debate at the half-day event will cover what has been achieved so far and what further can be done by the Bulgarian Government to support development of the market.

Movers and shakers

Selectivity, not popularity, is the driving force behind Sofia's most exclusive members' only club.

Appointments

British Council

British Council

Lyubov Kostova was appointed country manager of British Council Bulgaria effective January 1, replacing Tony Buckby, who left in October 2011 to take a similar position at British Council Greece. Kostova has been with British Council Bulgaria for 11 years, as public communications manager and, since 2008, as the head of project and partnerships department. Prior to joining the British Council, Kostova was head of international activities at the National Academy for Theatre and Cinema Arts (NATFIZ). She has a degree in Indian studies from Kliment Ohridski Sofia University.

CEZ

CEZ

Stefan Apostolov is the new chief executive of CEZ Razpredelenie Bulgaria, the power transmission subsidiary of Czech energy company CEZ in the country. He replaces interim chief executive Ales Damm, who remains the chairperson of the CEZ Razpredelenie management board. Apostolov has 30 years of experience in the energy sector, joining CEZ in 2007 as director of customer service and was later appointed as head of business development. Apostolov has a master's degree in electric systems from the Belorussian National Technical University in Minsc, management diplomas from Open University London and New Bulgarian University, as well as a master's degree in business administration from Plovdiv University.

BASF Bulgaria

BASF Bulgaria

Valentina Dikanska is the new general manager of chemical industry giant BASF subsidiary in Bulgaria, taking over from Herbert Fisch, BASF vice president for Southeastern Europe. Dikanska, who started her career as an expert in the Finance Ministry, joined BASF Bulgaria as director of finance and administration in 2002. She becomes the first Bulgarian to hold the top management position in the company in its 40-year history on the Bulgarian market. Dikanska holds a master's degree in economics from the University for National and World Economy in Sofia.

Rompetrol Bulgaria

Rompetrol Bulgaria

Alexander Albin has been appointed chief executive of fuel distributor Rompetrol Bulgaria, replacing Nichita Sorin, who left to become chief executive of Rompetrol Gaz in Romania. Albin was previously chief executive of Rompetrol Georgia. He has more than 15 years of experience in the oil and gas industry; prior to joining Romania's oil group Rompetrol in 2008 as an adviser, he oversaw operations at Atyrau refinery in Kazakhstan, owned by Rompetrol's parent company KazMunaiGaz. He previously held top management positions at two other leading Kazakh oil and gas companies.